PPT Presentation - 9. Prof. Detlef Sprinz - AMaReNa

AMaReNa – A Market for the Restoration of Nature Detlef F. Sprinz Overview › The Challenge › Predicting the Outcomes of Political Negotiations › Measuring Performance: Forest Ecosystem Services (EU Nature Restoration Regulation) › Reporting › Enabling Nature Credits › Partners › PIK-Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research › Future Forest Initiative, Blankenburg, Saxony-Anhalt, Germany › Gutsverwaltung Schloss Neuenhof, Lüdenscheid, Germany › 2,000 ha private forests › severely impacted by past summer droughts & bark beetles › Funder › BMBF (German Federal Ministry for Education & Research)/DATIpilot InnovationSprint › Amount: € 300k › Timeline: June 2024-Nov. 2025 Predicting the Outcomes of Political Negotiations • Quantities of forest carbon sinks to be remunerated • Extent of nature conservation aspects to be considered and made available for remuneration • Extent of measures for strengthening climate resilience of forest stands and made available for remuneration The Predictioneer's Game is a negotiation forecasting model based on game theory and empirically calibrated inputs that allows for the prediction and engineering (optimization) of negotiation outcomes. Issue 2: Predicting Nature Conservation Provisions Source: Sprinz, D. F., T. V. Schaefers, F. Lenk and M. Krott (2024). Forecasting Forest-Related Political Decisions in a Climate-Constrained World – The Remuneration of Forest Ecosystem Services in Germany. Forest Policy and...